« Shorts for a Strong Dollar | Sheer Energy »

04/29/2008

The Big Kahuna

Well, as I've been saying, tomorrow (Wednesday) is going to be huge. An hour before the opening bell, we get the early GDP report (subject to revision - twice - in the near future). With so many people saying we're not in a recession, it'll be interesting to see what the data indicates. Then, at 2:15 EST, the Fed does their announcement. Every character, comma, and space is going to be interpreted to death.

From a charting perspective, it's impossible to say what will happen except that it'll be big. I have only one index position - - a fairly large-sized put - - but I'm definitely keeping a lot of cash on the sidelines just in case of some (God forbid) bullish blowout.

 I got rid of my NDX puts today, because I really don't like the action here. I know that $MSH looks good, but $NDX is what I had puts on, and this chart worries me.

Added to which, the $COMPQ is exhibiting a pattern that has had very bad (for bears) results in the past few years.

On a brighter note - - and I actually had a pretty good day - - my dozens of shorts in oil are doing great. OIH has only lost about 6% of its value since its peak, but I really like how this is shaping up.

Likewise, my double-inverse ETF on oil, DUG, had a good day too. I bought these on the day where the low was made.

My puts on MDR also did well, with the stock falling nearly 9% today. This is another nice example of an attempt at a bullish breakout that failed, similar to ISRG.

And.........finally!.......my puts on BHI are shaping up. I like the way the price is moving away from that trendline.

0x

One other favorite of mine is GENZ, which ever-so-slowly is building what could be a terrific head and shoulders pattern. If complete, this could take GENZ down to the low 50s.

That's it from me. I'll be watching IWM like a hawk at 5:30 a.m. my time. I offer something that I usually cannot - - and guarantee - - and it is this: April 30th is going to be really, really interesting.

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00e0098982228833011570b0dc6c970b

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference The Big Kahuna:

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment