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10/29/2009

Come to Papa

This bear is seeing a big, fat bounce coming, and he couldn't be happier.

A surge higher is just what the doctor ordered. My view is that the market will push higher - - and the key question is how high - - and then resume its fall, gaining speed on the way down.

Some people - the "1120 crowd" - see the market pushing to new yearly highs. I don't. Looking at the chart below, I would anticipate the /ES getting up to the 1060-1070 range.

1029-es 


The other "tell" for me is GLD. It would be confirming evidence for me if GLD got up to about 102.50. I personally would be much more comfortable getting aggressive on the short side at that point.

1029-gld

In the meantime, all my shorts are still in place, but I'm going to try to balance things with some well-placed long positions. But, I say again, I am thrilled at the bounce that is going to start happening at the opening bell, since I think a tremendous bull trap is in the process of being set.

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